It's not the economy, stupid!
Nov. 11, 2018
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Alan Abramowitz
Alan Abramowitz is a popular expert on national politics, polling and elections. His expertise includes election forecasting models, party realignment in the United States, congressional elections and the effects of political campaigns on the electorate.
His election forecast has correctly and precisely predicted the popular vote winner within two percentage points or less in every U.S. presidential election since 1988.
Abramowitz, the Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science, is the author or coauthor of five books, including "Voice of the People: Elections and Voting Behavior in the United States."
Recent News
- Hacking allegation shows peril of Georgia Republican's twin election rolesNov. 4, 2018
- U.S. mid-terms: Can we tell if Democrats will win?Oct. 8, 2018
- There's a suburban tsunami driving 2018Sept. 25, 2018
- Judge: Georgia has stalled in face of voting system risksSept. 18, 2018
- A fresh look back at 2016 finds America with an identity crisisSept. 15, 2018
- Political polarization paved way for Trump, will continue into 2020 raceJune 29, 2018
- The powerful pattern Democrats must break to win the SenateApril 17, 2018
- What A Booming Economy Means For The MidtermsApril 2, 2018
- What motivates voters more than loyalty? LoathingMarch 2, 2018
- The good economy might not bail out Republicans in the midterms after allFeb. 1, 2018
- 2018 looks like a Democratic waveDec. 13, 2017
- Will Alabama defy the most powerful trend shaping modern Senate elections?Dec. 12, 2017
- 'Negative partisanship' explains everythingSept. 5, 2017
- Georgia race is all about the bragging rightsJune 20, 2017
- Trump's shadow and stalled GOP agenda loom over close Georgia raceJune 16, 2017
- President Trump is the enemy of their enemiesMay 4, 2017
- How the left learned to hate like the rightApril 29, 2017
- Runoff vote keeps Georgia's 6th district a battlegroundApril 19, 2017
- Donald Trump's political stewMarch 9, 2017
- 2016: The 6 biggest political surprises in a wild yearDec. 28, 2016
- Rural vote fuels Trump; Clinton loses urban gripNov. 9, 2016
- How large is the divide between red and blue America?Nov. 4, 2016
- Election fuels public scholarship for Emory expertsNov. 1, 2016
- Split your ticketOct. 23, 2016
- Ripples from the 'how low can they go' campaignOct. 16, 2016
- Unprecedented election cycle provides focus for coursesOct. 11, 2016
- GOP looks to revive a dying breed: Ticket-splittersOct. 4, 2016
- Inside the complex process of taking America's political pulseOct. 1, 2016
- What we saw during the debateSept. 27, 2016
- Voters don't split tickets anymoreSept. 1, 2016
- Might deep red Georgia really go for Clinton?Aug. 17, 2016
- Federal debt and Libertarians and Allen BuckleyAug. 9, 2016
- For Clinton, Obama is an asset and a challengeJuly 28, 2016
- Divided Republicans ponder the after-TrumpJuly 17, 2016
- Hillary Clinton's lead in the polls may be larger than it seems. here's why.June 20, 2016
- Donald Trump's fear factorJune 14, 2016
- Twilight of the old south?June 12, 2016
- Clinton to get boost from democratic juggernautsJune 8, 2016
- Stop the polling insanityMay 20, 2016
- Election forecasting in the age of TrumpMay 15, 2016
- Voters' fears about Trump may outweigh wish for changeMay 10, 2016
- America today is two different countries. They don't get along.March 10, 2016
- Purity, disgust and Donald TrumpJan. 6, 2016
- Obama's legacy depends on the 2016 electionDec. 27, 2015
- Election forecaster: Trump might win GOP nominationNov. 29, 2015
- Decision 2016: Can these stats predict our next president?Nov. 3, 2015
- What if all politics is national?Sept. 29, 2015
- Bush seeks to shed 'low-energy' tag at Republican debateSept. 16, 2015
- Election forecast: Negative partisanship will drive 2016 racesJune 5, 2015
- All politics are local? Think again.April 18, 2015
- For 2016, candidates count, but don't ignore fundamentalsFeb. 28, 2015
- Hispanic approval of President Obama surges following immigration announcementDec. 1, 2014
- GOP Takes Control Of Senate With Wins in N.C., Iowa, Ark., Colo.Nov. 4, 2014
- Election 2014: News media look to Emory's political expertsOct. 31, 2014
- South unbound: Is Georgia going purple?Oct. 27, 2014
- Nathan Deal & Jason Carter: An in-depth look at the Georgia gubernatorial candidatesOct. 14, 2014
- Can we still trust polls to predict elections?Oct. 10, 2014
- Weighing in on the Georgia Senate candidatesSept. 29, 2014
- Survey finds Americans overlook their economic condition to support their political partySept. 24, 2014
- Is Obama dragging Democratic Party down?Aug. 28, 2014
- Barack Obama isn't on the ballot in 2014. But he pretty much is.Aug. 26, 2014
- The value of political corruptionAug. 5, 2014
- America really is two different political countries these daysJuly 28, 2014
- Georgia Senate race tightest in yearsJuly 24, 2014
- Carter courts small businesses, after fundraising spikeJuly 11, 2014
- We're not that polarized. Oh yes, we are.July 4, 2014
- Cantor's Republican primary loss: Emory experts commentJune 11, 2014
- Senate dreams: Voting trends belie parties' hopesJune 9, 2014
- GOP sees a pretty picture in 2014June 3, 2014
- Poll shows Georgia ethics agency's problems pose a danger for DealMay 11, 2014
- Mailbag: 'everyone fails this fact-check'April 17, 2014
- GOP's small-state edge boosts its Senate hopesApril 1, 2014
- How strong will the anti-Democratic backlash be?March 25, 2014
- The Tea Party's not dyingMarch 24, 2014
- Half of millennials don't associate with Democrat or Republican party, Rock the Vote saysMarch 11, 2014
- What would the Democrats do without Clinton in 2016?Feb. 6, 2014
- How race and religion have polarized American votersJan. 20, 2014
- Chris Christie faces new bullying charges. Are voters paying attention?Jan. 20, 2014
- The partisans in the closetJan. 8, 2014
- Bridging the compassion gapJan. 7, 2014
- Superiority complexDec. 16, 2013
- Rising riches: 1 in 5 in U.S. reaches affluenceDec. 6, 2013
- The political middle is dying. But it's not redistricting's fault.Oct. 29, 2013
- Shutdown's roots lie in deeply embedded divisions in America's politicsOct. 5, 2013
- Government Shutdown: Experts available to discuss economic impact, politicsOct. 4, 2013
- Government Shutdown: Expect it or worse, says AbramowitzSept. 25, 2013
- President Obama won all 10 of the states with the highest turnout in 2012. That means less than you think.Sept. 24, 2013
- In Georgia's Senate race, signs of GOP unease about tea party cloutAug. 20, 2013
- Political Insider with Jim GallowayJuly 11, 2013
- GOP redistricting skills may hurt immigration pushJuly 9, 2013
- Beyond black and white, new force reshapes SouthJune 25, 2013
- How U.S. politics was hijacked by partisansJune 3, 2013
- How scandals drive politicsMay 20, 2013
- Alan Abramowitz: It's ridiculous to call these scandals 'game changers'May 14, 2013
- Voting Rights Act as important as everMarch 8, 2013
- Polarization and voting rightsMarch 5, 2013
- Sequestration cuts loom but no 'grand bargain'Feb. 28, 2013
- Republicans seek to change how electoral votes are allocatedJan. 28, 2013
- GOP convention: Emory experts availableAug. 24, 2012