Expert: Alan Abramowitz


Alan Abramowitz is a popular expert on national politics, polling and elections. His expertise includes election forecasting models, party realignment in the United States, congressional elections and the effects of political campaigns on the electorate.

His election forecast has correctly and precisely predicted the popular vote winner within two percentage points or less in every U.S. presidential election since 1988.

Abramowitz, the Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science, is the author or coauthor of five books, including "Voice of the People: Elections and Voting Behavior in the United States."

His new book on polarization in American politics, "The Polarized Public? Why Our Government is So Dysfunctional," will be published in 2012.

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Mailbag: 'everyone fails this fact-check'

April 17, 2014

GOP's small-state edge boosts its Senate hopes

April 1, 2014

How strong will the anti-Democratic backlash be?

March 25, 2014

The Tea Party's not dying

March 24, 2014

Half of millennials don't associate with Democrat or Republican party, Rock the Vote says

March 11, 2014

What would the Democrats do without Clinton in 2016?

Feb. 6, 2014

The GOP's new strategy: Rig the game

Jan. 24, 2013

What can we expect from President Obama's second term?

Jan. 18, 2013

Decisive action or imagery: Gun control and the power of political symbolism

Jan. 15, 2013

GOP strains to define how to close gap with voters

Nov. 10, 2012

Tea Party holds most seats while alienating voters

Nov. 8, 2012

Surprise Jack Welch missed shows better U.S. growth

Oct. 13, 2012

Elections with a polarized public

Oct. 10, 2012

Democrats keep voter registration lead in 4 battleground states

Oct. 9, 2012

Presidential election: What to watch before Nov. 6

Oct. 5, 2012

Five weeks out: Clock ticks on Obama and Romney

Oct. 2, 2012

Voters angry at Washington gridlock may want to look in the mirror

Oct. 1, 2012

Republican split on Akin may hurt bid for Senate control

Sep. 30, 2012

Election 2012: Faculty experts focus on final stretch

Sep. 28, 2012

Congress exiting to campaign leaving pile-up of issues

Sep. 21, 2012

Election forecast models clouded by economy's growth

Sep. 6, 2012

Convention line-up aside, minority votes still a tough sell for GOP

Aug. 29, 2012

Election 2012: Emory experts available

Aug. 24, 2012

Emory polisci guru says Paul Ryan as VP "unlikely" to sway election

Aug. 19, 2012

Pros and cons of Paul Ryan as VP Candidate

Aug. 13, 2012

Pros and cons of Republican VP pick Paul Ryan

Aug. 13, 2012

Pros and cons of leading Romney veep candidates

Aug. 8, 2012

Older, tougher: But will the Tea Party be stronger?

Aug. 7, 2012

Economy model favors Obama

July 28, 2012

U.S. braces for make or break economic data

July 26, 2012

Whom will Romney pick?

July 17, 2012

President Obama on top in first election forecast

July 13, 2012

Election model predicts Bush-Gore style ending for 2012

July 12, 2012

Missouri legislative leaders saying no to Medicaid expansion

July 1, 2012

The pros and cons of Republican vice presidential candidates

June 26, 2012

Political Insider Your morning jolt: White voter registration in Georgia down to 60 percent

June 25, 2012

Just like the Gipper

June 14, 2012

Polls haven't budged; campaign looks like trench warfare

June 14, 2012

Hmmm. The 2012 election reminds me of something

May 29, 2012

Book: Why the racial gap will widen

May 22, 2012

How white will the electorate be?

May 21, 2012

On race, class and gender, Obama's polling looks a lot like 2008

April 17, 2012

Election 2012: Santorum clears path for Romney

April 11, 2012

President Obama and Romney Neck-and-Neck in the Polls

April 11, 2012

Just how independent are independent voters?

Mar. 27, 2012

Price of gas matters to voters, but doesn't seem to sway votes

Mar. 17, 2012

Super Tuesday fallout: Will South ever vote for Mitt Romney?

Mar. 7, 2012

Gingrich looks south to revive White House bid

Mar. 7, 2012

Gingrich's Georgia win masks "southern strategy" problem

Mar. 7, 2012

Super Tuesday takes center stage in Republican primary battle

Mar. 5, 2012

Poll: Gingrich leads in Ga. but voters doubt him

Mar. 4, 2012

Poll: Gingrich leads in Ga. but voters doubt him

Mar. 4, 2012

Georgia a proving ground for Gingrich

Mar. 2, 2012

Experts analyze impact of super PACs on the election landscape

Mar. 1, 2012

The Influence of Super PACS

Feb. 28, 2012

Super Tuesday key for Republican candidates

Feb. 17, 2012

Georgia visit highlights high stakes for Gingrich

Feb. 17, 2012

'Sugar daddies' and debates changing all the rules

Feb. 17, 2012

'Sugar Daddies' and debates changing all the rules

Feb. 17, 2012

Super Tuesday key for Republican candidates

Feb. 15, 2012

Super Tuesday key for Republican candidates

Feb. 14, 2012

Gingrich's electability argument doesn't make much sense

Jan. 24, 2012

State of the Union Address experts

Jan. 22, 2012

Previewing the Republican primaries

Jan. 13, 2012

South Carolina primary last chance for some candidates

Jan. 12, 2012

Election 2012: Experts evaluate S.C. primary contest

Jan. 12, 2012

Demystifying the role of political Independents

Jan. 9, 2012

Just 39% of Dems say Obama reelection 'very likely'

Dec. 17, 2011

Just 39% of Dems say Obama reelection 'very likely'

Dec. 17, 2011

Election 2012: Experts available

Dec. 14, 2011

Herman Cain suspends Republican presidential bid

Dec. 3, 2011

Herman Cain suspends Republican presidential bid

Dec. 3, 2011

Emory professor: Cain campaign in trouble

Nov. 29, 2011

Why Barack Obama has a good chance of winning a second term

Nov. 10, 2011

From Personhood Amendement to Ohio Issue 2, not a banner election for Tea Party

Nov. 9, 2011

Tea Party Tally From personhood amendment to Ohio Issue 2, not a banner election for tea party

Nov. 9, 2011

Will GOP debate be sidetracked by Herman Cain sexual harassment allegations?

Nov. 9, 2011

Government shutdown: Emory experts say everybody loses

Sep. 26, 2011

Previewing 2012 elections: Emory experts available

Sep. 23, 2011

Moderate voices go silent in new House of Representatives

Jan. 6, 2011

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